The White Flag in Trade WarsIt turns out trade wars are not so easy to win. The Trump administration has had no real success with China, Canada and Mexico, and is in no
Forecasting is a Walk on the Wild SideWe have previously highlighted the difficulty of running economic forecasting models that cannot absorb the wild deviations caused by geo-po
Strong Economy Despite a Yo-Yo Stock Market, But Imports Could DeclineWe have entered 2019 with some good economic indicators: jobs, wages, gross domestic product and retail sales all saw strong growth during 2